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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has compiled 4.4 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 88th percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.2 minutes per game away from home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 10th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

When playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

More Tyler Herro Player Props

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