Tyler Herro Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 1, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has compiled 4.5 assists per game while at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
Tyler Herro has played 34.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
Tyler Herro will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Tyler Herro has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.2 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).