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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has posted 4.5 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent games: 88th percentile.

Tyler Herro has played 34.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

While playing on the road, the Knicks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to improves player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games on the road, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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