Ty Jerome Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ty Jerome

G-F · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 9:51 PM EST

Analysis

Ty Jerome Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+132/-172).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -172.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ty Jerome has averaged 4.4 assists per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Ty Jerome will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Warriors.