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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trey Murphy III has made an impressive 2.1 treys per game this season, significantly more than his 1.2 rate last season.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Hawks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy III has sunk 90.3% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games when the Hawks are the visiting team (6.2).

When playing away from home, the Hawks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a measly 25.9 free throws per game when the Hawks are away from home this year (4th-least in the NBA).

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