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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trey Murphy III has successfully made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season when playing away from home.

Trey Murphy III has sunk an impressive 1.7 free throws per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.7 mark last year.

Trey Murphy III has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 6.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (13.2).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home (least in the NBA).

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