Trey Lyles Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has totaled 4.3 defensive rebounds per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard.
The 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Trey Lyles slots into the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, putting up an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Trey Lyles will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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