Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Trey Lyles registers in the 78th percentile for 3-point ability while at home with an excellent 38.9% rate this year.
Trey Lyles has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Trey Lyles has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 26.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage.
Trey Lyles is expected to see a spike in productivity across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-pointers.
The Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
The Sacramento Kings will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Clippers).

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