Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has averaged 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
With respect to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's terrific 118.6 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 8th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the league) against the Nuggets, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Kings.
Trey Lyles has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 29.2% higher than he's made overall this year when playing at home.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has failed to make 3.0 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's missed from three overall this season while on his home court.
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 7thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

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