Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has made 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the year playing at home.
Trey Lyles has tallied 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 8.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the fastest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
As a team, the Kings have been great at getting to the foul line while on their home court: 6th-best in the NBA this year, tallying 25.3 foul shots per game.
Trey Lyles will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has converted just 30.4% of his field goal attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 39.3 mark last season.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Kings.
The Kings check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Trey Lyles has attempted 0.7 foul shots per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 24th percentile among all players in the league.

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