Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 9:09 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has sunk 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Trey Lyles has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Trey Lyles figures to see an increase in output in all facets of the game considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 39.3% mark, Trey Lyles's scoring effectiveness has diminished this year to 32.3%.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Kings will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the NBA, Trey Lyles lands in the 22nd percentile for getting to the charity stripe, putting up only 0.8 foul shot attempts per game this year.