Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 16, 2024 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Trey Lyles has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 26.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Trey Lyles will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has converted 40.1% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.