Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
This year, opposing clubs have totaled 11.4 3-pointers per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, creating a hard matchup.
The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, opposing teams have attempted a whopping 23.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the league).

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