Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 9:23 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has successfully made 1.6 threes per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
This matchup is a challenging one; when the Clippers are playing at home, they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (110.5).
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
Trey Lyles has sunk 82.1% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 9.8% more than he's made in all games this season.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 10th-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year (the Clippers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 4thworst in in the league with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Over the last 15 games, the other team has collected 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers (saving possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense).
Trey Lyles will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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