Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 9:53 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to shooting, the Sacramento Kings's excellent 121.0 points per game places 3rd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games.
This matchup is a difficult one; when the Phoenix Suns are on their home court, they have given up the 10th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (110.5).
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).
This year, opposing squads have attempted 21.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Suns have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).