Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 2:38 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have averaged 45.0% on shots from the field (6th-worst in the NBA) against the Nets, creating a difficult matchup.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games on their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 7thbest in in the league while at home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team has attempted 20.7 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has made a lowly 1.8 baskets per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 2.9 rate last season.
Out of all players in the league, Trey Lyles registers in the 98th percentile for technical fouls, posting a monstrous 0.3 fouls per game this year.
The Kings have been the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (retaining possessions that can create extra chances for offense).
In comparison to last year's 69.9% rate, Trey Lyles's free-throw efficiency has dropped this year to 60.4%.

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