Trey Lyles Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 7:05 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+161/-213).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +164 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +161.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has successfully made 53.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 17.8% more than he's sunk overall this season.
This year, opposing teams have averaged 33.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Trey Lyles places in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has come down with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) against the Bucks (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).
Trey Lyles will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.