Trayce Jackson-Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2025

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Trayce Jackson-Davis

NBA · Player Props

Trayce Jackson-Davis

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 12, 2025

Updated May 13, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 79.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 17.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
The number of threes attempted against Rudy Gobert has been remarkably high (2.2 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (88th percentile).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (2.9 free throws per game when they are on their home court: 75th percentile).
Trayce Jackson-Davis stands to see a rise in performance for all stats due to having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Trayce Jackson-Davis rates in the 5th percentile for three-point efficiency with a subpar 0.0% rate this year.
Trayce Jackson-Davis has tallied 8.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 less than he's tallied overall this year.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Warriors.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.

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