Trayce Jackson-Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Trayce Jackson-Davis

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:15 AM EST

Analysis

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trayce Jackson-Davis has converted 4.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have come down with 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).
Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Trayce Jackson-Davis registers in the 8th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc with the home court advantage, logging 0.0 per game this year.
Trayce Jackson-Davis has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Warriors check in as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have posted 130.8 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive production.
The 4th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.