Trayce Jackson-Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

NBA · Player Props

Trayce Jackson-Davis

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trayce Jackson-Davis has converted 69.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 19.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing at home.
The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 17 games while playing at home.
The Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, opposing clubs have come down with 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 8th percentile among all players in the league.
Trayce Jackson-Davis has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.2% field goal rate as the home team comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
The clash with Goga Bitadze slots into the 10th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs scoring a mere 0.3 shots from downtown per game this year.
The faceoff with Goga Bitadze as it relates to drawing fouls ranks in the 17th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year when they are on their home court.