Trae Young Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Trae Young

NBA · Player Props

Trae Young

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 6.5 rate, Trae Young's 3-point attempts have spiked this season to 8.9 per game.
Trae Young has averaged 36.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Trae Young figures to get a boost in productivity for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Trae Young has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 11.3 field goal attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, creating a challenging matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hornets).
In contrast to last year's 7.6 clip, Trae Young's foul shots converted have been reduced this year to 6.7 per game.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the NBA).

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