Trae Young Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Trae Young

NBA · Player Props

Trae Young

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young rates in the 96th percentile, tallying a colossal 25.0 points per game playing at home this year.
Trae Young has attempted 9.0 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 6.5 mark last year.
Trae Young has averaged 36.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (22nd-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a positive matchup.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point shots, the Atlanta Hawks's poor 33.1% rate of drained threes settles in as the worst in the league over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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