Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has averaged 4.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category in recent games.
Tobias Harris has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
Tobias Harris will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).