Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2026

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · May 3, 2026

Updated May 3, 2026 3:28 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-103/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has notched 20.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 higher than he's notched overall this season.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Pistons have been the least aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year with respect to three-point attempts.
The matchup against Orlando is a hard one; when the Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
The 9th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The matchup against Orlando may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are away from home (3rd-least in the league).

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