Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 21, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 7:04 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris lands in the 76th percentile for field goal attempts, putting up 12.3 per game this year.
Tobias Harris has averaged 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 8.7 buckets per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).
In terms of shooting, the Pistons's lackluster 107.5 points per game on the road comes in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Pistons.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league).