Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:44 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 88th percentile.
The matchup against Charlotte is a favorable one for scoring; when the Hornets are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled the most buckets per game in the league this year (8.7).
The Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris has successfully made a terrific 100.0% of his free throws this year, a significant increase from his 85.7 rate last year.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 31.7% rate, Tobias Harris's three-point efficiency has been reduced this year to 21.6%.
Compared to last year's 1.7 mark, Tobias Harris's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 3.0.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league while playing on the road this year.
The matchup against the Hornets is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

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