Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 13.1 shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (46.4%).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris registers in the 82nd percentile for free throws drained, averaging an enormous 2.5 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Detroit Pistons will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Heat).
The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
Tobias Harris stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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