Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 13.6 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 11.5 rate last season.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The 76ers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last year's 1.5 rate, Tobias Harris's foul shots scored have risen this year to 2.7 per game.
Tobias Harris will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

In regard to 3-pointers, the Philadelphia 76ers's lackluster 12.0 drained threes per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 8th-fewest in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have notched 15.1 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive output.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the 76ers.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the 76ers.
The matchup against Orlando may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are away from home (3rd-least in the NBA).