Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has compiled 16.4 points per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
Tobias Harris has made 41.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season with the home court advantage.
Tobias Harris has averaged 33.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on shot attempts from the field (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Philadelphia 76ers's subpar 104.6 points per game while playing at home comes in as the fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
The 10th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The matchup against Charlotte is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Hornets are on the road (13th-least in the league).

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