Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 6:52 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 47.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 14.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court.
Tobias Harris has averaged 33.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games while playing at home.
The Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.
The 76ers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris rates in the 75th percentile for technical fouls, registering a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have logged 15.8 points per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Spurs, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have captured 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional chances for offense).