Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 19, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 2:21 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has attempted 19.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Tobias Harris has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The 76ers check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
Tobias Harris has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
The faceoff with Paolo Banchero in terms of getting to the foul line ranks in just the 79th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting PFs attempting a massive 4.1 foul shots per game this year when they are away from home.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The rate of threes scored against Paolo Banchero has been quite low (29.5%) when squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year (20th percentile).
The 76ers have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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