Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 3, 2023

Updated May 4, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has made 52.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 15.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road.
Tobias Harris has played 32.1 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 28th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (37.1%).
While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Celtics may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the NBA).
Tobias Harris will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all stat categories.