Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has played 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
Tobias Harris has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.0% higher than he's converted overall this season.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Nets are away from home (21st-most in the NBA).
Tobias Harris will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has attempted a lowly 11.4 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 13.9 rate last year.
The matchup against the Nets is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 11th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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