Tobias Harris Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has tallied 31.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

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