T.J. McConnell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2026

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NBA · Player Props

T.J. McConnell

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 15, 2026

Updated Mar 15, 2026 3:29 PM EST

Analysis

T.J. McConnell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pacers have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 21.7 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive production.
The quickest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pacers.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a decline in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.