Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has made 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to get a boost in plays today from facing the 9th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Pistons check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 17 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been lousy at drawing fouls on the road: worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 18.6 free throws per game.
Tim Hardaway Jr. stands to see a decline in efficiency for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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