Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has converted 2.2 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have scored 15.8 points per game (9th-most in the league) against the Grizzlies, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive production.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pistons check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. slots into the 23rd percentile for free-throw effectiveness away from his home court with a poor 62.5% rate this year.
Over the last 12 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Grizzlies, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Tim Hardaway Jr. ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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