Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. comes in at the 96th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 7.7 per game this year.
In terms of scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 120.5 points per game away from home measures as the strongest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
The Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Tim Hardaway Jr. stands to see a decline in efficiency across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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