Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 29.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
In regard to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 120.9 points per game settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
The Miami Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.8% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Tim Hardaway Jr. has made 34.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.9% less than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 0.1 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
This matchup is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; their opposition has totaled the 9th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (36.7).
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).
The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).