Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 7.8 mark, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 8.9 per game.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a tough one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.2%).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. rates in the 92nd percentile for technical fouls, registering a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Celtics (retaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).

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