Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 7:27 PM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 29.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a positive matchup.
The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9thbest in in the league while playing at home with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has snagged 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Tim Hardaway Jr. has missed 5.7 3-pointers per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.8 mark last season.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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