Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 9:05 PM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. lands in the 84th percentile, logging a whopping 17.3 points per game this year.
In comparison to last year's 7.8 mark, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have increased this year to 9.0 per game.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has been called for 1.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
The Mavericks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have shot 51.4% on shots from the field (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Tim Hardaway Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.