Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged 5.9 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a positive matchup.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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