Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 8:08 PM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 7.8 clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s three-point attempts have spiked this year to 9.2 per game.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has accumulated just 0.7 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 1.7 fouls per game last season.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-point shots; their opposition has shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (31.8%).
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (16.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 22.9 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Tim Hardaway Jr. figures to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats on account of playing away from hom in this matchup.