Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has converted 43.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 14.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year in terms of 3-pointers.
Terry Rozier will likely get a boost in effectiveness for all stats considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 16.4 rate, Terry Rozier's shots have been reduced this season to 10.5 per game.
Compared to last season's 33.5 rate, Terry Rozier's playing time has been reduced this season to 27.1 minutes per game.
The most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Clippers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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