Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 14.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Terry Rozier has made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most three-pointers per game in the league this year (3.0).
Terry Rozier is expected to see a rise in efficiency across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

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