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Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a good one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (18.1).
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.
  • Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier slots into the 79th percentile for foul-shot prowess with an excellent 86.2% rate this year.
  • This year, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Kings, easily managing to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Terry Rozier has successfully made 38.2% of his field goal attempts on the road this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 21 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).
  • Terry Rozier should suffer a drop-off in output for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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