Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 7.2 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.6 minutes per game this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Washington is a positive one; when the Washington Wizards are playing at home, they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.8).
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

The most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, the other team has brought down 13.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Terry Rozier will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player production across the board.

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