Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-102/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier comes in at the 88th percentile for shots taken while at home, tallying 14.5 per game this year.
Terry Rozier has attempted 6.5 shots from downtown per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 32.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
As it relates to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's impressive 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.5).
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have brought down 14.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Suns (lengthening possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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