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Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Terry Rozier has attempted 18.0 field goals per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Terry Rozier has attempted 7.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.6 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court.
  • The Celtics have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have shot 38.1% on shot attempts from the field (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, creating a tough matchup.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
  • The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

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